As we head into the weekend, it promises to be one of the most exciting races for the Premier League title in living memory, and certainly a more exciting finale to the season than last year when Manchester City were the runaway champions and had the title wrapped up, in all honesty, many weeks before they were actually confirmed as winners.
This time around both Liverpool, who lead the Premier League champions by one point, and Tottenham, who are five points behind Manchester City in the table, both harbour ambitions of succeeding City as champions. What are the realistic prospect of either of these three teams winning the Premier League?
In this article, we decided to take a look and give you our verdict on how we see the run in going for each of the teams.
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Before we take a look at each team’s run in for the Premier League, let’s first give you a quick recap on how the current Premier League tables stands for the top three.
Premier League Table Top 3
As of 11.30am Wednesday 27th February
| Pos | Team | Ply | For | Ag | Pts | Goal Difference |
| 1 | Liverpool | 27 | 59 | 15 | 66 | +44 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 27 | 74 | 20 | 65 | +54 |
| 3 | Tottenham Hotspur | 27 | 55 | 27 | 60 | +28 |
Each team has 11 games remaining in the Premier League, with the first of those games taking place this evening.
The table below outlines each team’s final 11 games of the Premier League season.
| Match Number | Liverpool | Manchester City | Tottenham |
| 28 | V Watford (H) | V West Ham (H) | V Chelsea (A) |
| 29 | V Everton (A) | V Bournemouth (A) | V Arsenal (H) |
| 30 | V Burnley (H) | V Watford (H) | V Southampton (A) |
| 31 | V Fulham (A) | V Fulham (A) | V Crystal Palace (H) |
| 32 | V Tottenham (H) | V Cardiff City (H) | V Liverpool (A) |
| 33 | V Southampton (A) | V Crystal Palace (A) | V Brighton (H) |
| 34 | V Chelsea (H) | V Tottenham (H) | V Huddersfield (H) |
| 35 | V Cardiff City (A) | V Man Utd (A) | V Man City (A) |
| 36 | V Huddersfield (H) | V Burnley (A) | V West Ham (H) |
| 37 | V Newcastle (A) | V Leicester (H) | V Bournemouth (A) |
| 38 | V Wolves (H) | V Brighton (A) | V Everton (H) |
Looking at the run in, it seems like Liverpool and Manchester City have the easier of the three teams in terms of remaining fixtures. Liverpool face just two top six teams in their final 11 games, Chelsea and Tottenham and both these games will be held at Anfield. Man City also face two top six opponents, but only one of those games is at home (to Tottenham) with the other away to fierce rivals Manchester United. Spurs face four of the top six (Chelsea and Arsenal in their next two games, as well as away matches at Liverpool and Manchester City).
It’s clear that if Spurs are to challenge then they are going to have to pick up results at both Anfield and the Etihad Stadium in their remaining games. That looks a big ask for a team that were beaten by Burnley last weekend and who now face two crucial London derby games in the space of four days.
Liverpool have tough games against Everton and Wolves most notably, while the away trip to Newcastle on the penultimate weekend of games could also be tricky. Man City face both Crystal Palace and Leicester, teams who have beaten them this season, in the run in while Burnley away is also looking likely to be a tough game.
It is worth noting that as teams progress in tournaments, the dates and times of these final league fixtures are likely to change as teams rearrange games due to fixture congestion and similar.
Extra Fixtures
However, on top of their Premier League campaign, each team is also guaranteed at least one more Champions League fixture, the second leg of their Round of 16 ties, while Manchester City are also still in the FA Cup and have a quarterfinal tie against Swansea City to play in a couple of week’s time.
This means that of the three teams, they could also have the following fixtures to play over the remainder of the season.
- Liverpool – 6 possible Champions League ties (1 x Round of 16 2nd leg, 2x quarterfinal, 2x semifinal, 1x final) – 6 games
- Manchester City – 6 possible Champions League ties (1x Round of 16 2nd leg, 2x quarterfinal, 2x semifinal, 1x final) and 3 possible FA Cup ties (1x quarterfinal, 1x semifinal and 1x final) – 9 games
- Tottenham – 6 possible Champions League ties (1 x Round of 16 2nd leg, 2x quarterfinal, 2x semifinal, 1x final) – 6 games
While Manchester City (who beat Schalke 04 3-2 in Germany in their Round of 16 first leg) and Tottenham (who defeated Dortmund 3-0 at Wembley in their Round of 16 first leg) look set to progress into the quarterfinals of the Champions League, Liverpool’s chances of progress are slimmer having drawn the first leg with Bayern Munich 0-0 at Anfield in their Champions League Round of 16 tie.
Current Form
There’s no doubt that in terms of current form Manchester City are the team to watch. They have cut Liverpool’s lead from seven points down to just one point over the last few weeks as the Reds have drawn three of their last four Premier League games. This is a fact that they must put right in tonight’s game at Anfield against Watford if they are to stand any chance of keeping pace with City.
Tottenham’s form has not been particularly good of late either and that defeat at Burnley was damaging, another defeat in their games with Chelsea or Arsenal could well put an end to their realistic hopes of the title, so it is an important week for Spurs in terms of their title aspirations and I am not sure that their current form makes it likely that they’ll come through both these tough games with six points.
Form at present seems to suggest it will be Manchester City’s title and bet365 make the Citizens the 8/15 favourites to defend their title. Liverpool’s drop off in form has seen them drift to 13/8 despite being top of the table at present, while Tottenham are rated at 66/1 to lift the title.
The smart money seems to be on Manchester City to win the Premier League, but in what has already been a season with a few surprises, who knows what is in store over these last few weeks of the season and whether City’s squad has the depth and fitness levels to cope with what will likely be the busiest fixture list of the top three sides over the next couple of months.
Something tells me that there may be a few twists and turns yet to come in this Premier League title race and that the value bet may well to back Liverpool at 13/8 to pip City to the title.
