a free £5 bet for the Champions League Final.
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Enjoy a £5 Free Bet on Liverpool v Real Madrid with bet365.
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Latest Betting Odds – Update
It’s interesting to see how the odds have changed for the Champions League Final over the last few weeks since the first part of this article was written.
Liverpool’s odds have remained consistent as they are still the even money favourite with bet365 Sport to win the game. That suggests that there has been consistent money over the last few weeks for Jurgen Klopp’s men.
However, we have also seen the odds-on Real Madrid shorten from 3/1 a few weeks back down to 5/2. That’s half a point that Los Blancos have come in by and that suggests there is also plenty of money being staked on the Spanish Champions as well as the Reds.
The odds on the draw have also shortened from 45/16 a few weeks back compared with the 13/5 price available right now. Again, this suggests that there has been plenty of money on this game being all-square after the 90-minute mark.
What this tells me is that punters, the same as betting sites, feel this is a really open game and that any of the three results are almost as likely as the others.
How Have The Teams Performed Since Reaching The Final
Liverpool
- V Tottenham (H) – D 1-1 (Diaz 74)
- V Aston Villa (A) – W 2-1(Matip 6, Mane 65)
- V Chelsea (N) – D 0-0 (W 6-5 on penalties) – Won FA Cup
- V Southampton (A) –W 2-1 (Minamino 27, Matip 67)
- V Wolves (H) – W 3-1 (Mane 24, Salah 84, Robertson 89)
Liverpool won three of their four league games following their semi-final victory over Villarreal, but that draw with Spurs did probably cost the Reds the league title and a shot at the quadruple.
However, they did win the FA Cup for an eighth time by beating Chelsea at Wembley and they have gone through this entire season losing just three games in all competitions, two in the Premier League and one in the Champions League.
In comparison, Real Madrid have lost more than that number in the Champions League alone this season (4) and have lost nine games across all competitions.
Real Madrid
- V Atletico Madrid (A) – L 0-1
- V Levante (H) – W 6-0 (Mendy 13, Benzema 19, Rodrygo 34, Vinicius Jr 45,68,83)
- V Cadiz (A) – D 1-1 (Mariano Diaz 5)
- V Real Betis (H) – D 0-0
Since reaching the final with their win over Manchester City, Real Madrid have played just four games, winning one game, drawing two and losing the other.
However, all four games were in La Liga and Real had secured the La Liga title with a 4-0 win over Espanyol a few days before they played their second leg game with Manchester City, which means I would not put too much stock into their perfomances since as their focus will have switched from La Liga to the Champions League Final.
Liverpool V Real Madrid Head To Head
- May 1981 – Champions League Final – Liverpool 1-0 Real Madrid
- Feb 2009 – Champions League R16 – Real Madrid 0-1 Liverpool
- Mar 2009 – Champions League R16 – Liverpool 4-0 Real Madrid
- Oct 2014 – Champions League Grp – Liverpool 0-3 Real Madrid
- Nov 2014 – Champions League Grp – Real Madrid 1-0 Liverpool
- May 2018 – Champions League Final – Liverpool 1-3 Real Madrid
- Apr 2021 – Champions League QF – Real Madrid 3-1 Liverpool
- Apr 2021 – Champions League QF – Liverpool 0-0 Real Madrid
In 8 games played Liverpool have won 3, Real Madrid 4 with one game drawn. Liverpool have scored 8 goals in those games, Real Madrid have amassed 10 goals.
Their most recent clash was a quarterfinal tie in this competition last season, with Real winning the first leg 3-1 in Spain, and the second leg being drawn 0-0 at Anfield, though it should be noted Liverpool were without their first four top choice centre backs for both those games.
Champions League Final Team News
Liverpool
Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp has a couple of injury concerns ahead of the final on Saturday night and they may well be giving the German a few headaches.
On a positive note, Virgil Van Dijk was fit enough to be on the bench against Wolves, suggesting he will be fit for Saturday’s final, while Mo Salah played for 30 minutes and scored a goal in Sunday’s win at Anfield which suggests he is also good to go for the game.
However, Fabinho remains a doubt, Divock Origi is out for certain and now Thiago picked up an injury in the game against Wolves which makes him a massive doubt for the game at the weekend with Jurgen Klopp admitting that it does not look good for Thiago and his absence would be a big blow for the Reds given the superb form the Spaniard has been in of late.
Thiago is set to undergo a scan on Monday to determine the severity of his injury and Liverpool fans will be hoping that he is fit to go for the game, although the prognosis does not look positive. That could mean Naby Keita could get a start in midfield alongside Fabinho, if he is fit enough to play and likely Jordan Henderson.
- Predicted Liverpool Team – (4-3-3) – Alisson, Alexander-Arnold, Robertson, van Dijk, Matip, Fabinho, Henderson, Keita, Diaz, Mane, Salah.
Real Madrid
Carlo Ancelotti has almost a complete squad to pick from for the weekend, with the only injury concern being Austrian centre back David Alaba.
Alaba picked up an Adductor injury in the first leg against Manchester City and has been out since then, but he is expected to be fit to train this week and if so, should be fit enough to be considered for selection at the weekend.
Real also have Eden Hazard and Gareth Bale fit, but both are only likely to start from the bench in this game.
Manager Ancelotti’s main decision seems to be who to play up front alongside Benzema and Vinicius with Rodrygo and Valverde seemingly being the two players vying for that one slot in the team.
- Predicted Real Madrid Team – (4-3-3) – Courtois, Carvajal, Mendy, Alaba, Eder Militao, Casemiro, Kroos, Modric, Vinicius Jr., Benzema, Valverde
Our Betting Tips For The Champions League Final
So looking at all the factors involved for this game, who is our tip to win the match?
Well, there are a number of key areas that I feel will decide this game. Liverpool will need a solid performance from Alisson after Loris Karius’ nightmare against Real in the last Champions League Final.
The Red also need van Dijk back in defence after a very shaky opening 45 minutes against Wolves at the weekend. Fabinho’s return is also a must for the Reds as his skills in midfield and closing down Real’s midfield orchestrators in Kroos and Modric will be key.
For Real, Benzema and Vinicius Jr. will should the attacking burden in the main, while Liverpool’s front three look well able to cause Madrid real problems.
This will be a close game I am sure, and Real have ridden their luck to get to the final but managed to do so. Maybe their name is already etched on the trophy once again, but maybe also they have used up their luck in the three previous knockout ties.
I am going for a Liverpool win here (evens) with both teams finding the net (11/4 for Win and BTTS) and a 2-1 Liverpool win is an 8/1 chance.
Whatever happens, it should be a cracking game Satuday so don’t forget to tune in for the climax of the season in Europe.