
Ahead of the start of the Euro 2024 qualifiers, England were 7/1 second favourites to win the tournament behind co-favourites, France and Germany (11/2).
Wales were ranked as 80/1, while Scotland were a distant 200/1 to win the tournament – all those odds with bet365 Sport.
However, after a strong start by the three Home Nations listed above, the odds on each of them have been cut, in some cases quite dramatically.
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So what happened in the qualifiers over the first two matchdays to see the bookmakers adjust their odds so dramatically?
Let’s take a closer look and find out.
Scotland made heavy work of defeating Cyprus, reliant on two late Scott McTominay goals to make things a little more comfortable. John McGinn put the Scots in front midway through the first half, but those two late goals made things safe after a frustrating hour or so in the game.
Spain made light work of an Erling Haaland-less Norway, securing a 3-0 victory in a similar manner to the Scots beating Cyprus. Dani Olmo scored on 13 minutes and then Joselu added two goals in three minutes late in the game to hand the Spaniards a comfortable win.
If Scotland needed any added motivation for the game with Spain then the news that Norway and Georgia had drawn provided a boost for them as it meant that both their rivals would end this international break at least two points adrift of the Scots.
However, in the end it proved even better as Scotland produced an outstanding performance to defeat Spain 2-0 at Hampden Park. Scott McTominay was again the hero, scoring twice to put him on four goals in qualifying for the Scots and in doing so handing them top spot in the group.
Group A | ||||
P | Team | Pl | Pts | Gd |
1 | Scotland | 2 | 6 | 5 |
2 | Spain | 2 | 3 | 1 |
3 | Georgia | 1 | 1 | 0 |
4 | Norway | 2 | 1 | -3 |
5 | Cyprus | 1 | 0 | -3 |
As a result of this, bet365 Sport have cut the odds-on Scotland winning Euro 2024 from 200/1 down to 100/1.
North Macedonia secured an expected win over Malta, although the 2-1 scoreline suggests that they are not as strong as perhaps many people felt when they knocked Italy out of the World Cup Finals playoffs.
England produced a fantastic display to beat Italy 2-1 in Rome. Goals from Declan Rice and Harry Kane handed England a 2-0 lead, before Retagui pulled one back in the second half. Luke Shaw was sent off 10 minutes from time but England held on to record a huge win.
The palindromic scorelines continued on Matchday 2 in Group C with England earning a comfortable 2-0 home win over the Ukraine thanks to Harry Kane and Bukayo Saka, a result which put England top of the group.
Then in Valetta, Italy defeated home side Malta 2-0 thanks to first half strikes from Retagui and Pessina, which moved them up into second spot in the group tucked in. behind England.
Group C | ||||
P | Team | Pl | Pts | Gd |
1 | England | 2 | 6 | 3 |
2 | Italy | 2 | 3 | 1 |
3 | Nth Macedonia | 1 | 3 | 1 |
4 | Ukraine | 1 | 0 | -2 |
5 | Malta | 2 | 0 | -3 |
After the win in Italy and home win over Ukraine, England’s odds to win Euro 2024 were slashed down to 5/1 and the Three Lions are now joint-favourites with bet365 Sport alongside France.
Turkey bounced back from conceding a 10th minute opener to claim a win over Armenia. Ozkan Kabak’s own goal was cancelled out by Kokcy’s strike on 34 minutes before Akturkoglu snatched the win with a 64th minute winner.
Croatia were expected to beat Wales in their opener and it appeared the game would go that way when Kramatic put them in front on 28 minutes. However Wales hung in there and in injury time, Nathan Broadhead’s strike handed the visitors an unexpected and very welcome point.
Wales went from the underdogs against Croatia to the favourites against Latvia and they scraped the win thanks to Kieffer Moore’s 41st minute header, although they did have a number of other chances to extend that lead.
Croatia travelled to Turkey knowing that they needed a win after their home draw with Wales and Mateo Kovacic proved to be the main man, the Chelsea star netting twice in the first half to hand Croatia a 2-0 victory and a big away win in the context of the group.
Group D | ||||
P | Team | Pl | Pts | Gd |
1 | Croatia | 2 | 4 | 2 |
2 | Wales | 2 | 4 | 1 |
3 | Turkey | 2 | 3 | -1 |
4 | Armenia | 1 | 0 | -1 |
5 | Latvia | 1 | 0 | -1 |
Wales odds have been cut down from 80/1 to 66/.1 on the back of their strong start in the group.
Favourites Denmark opened up their campaign with a solid win over Finland, Hojlund scoring a hat-trick in that game, including two late goals to clinch the win. Slovenia joined them on three points after a battling 2-1 win against Kazakhstan in Astana.
Northern Ireland were expected to beat San Marino and they did just that with Bolton Wanderers striker Dion Charles netting two goals either side of half time to give the visitors the win they needed to start their campaign off.
Kazakhstan’s comeback win over Denmark was the biggest surprise of Matchday 2 as Slovenia continued their good start with a 2-0 win over San Marino, which took them top of the table with a 100% record.
Northern Ireland fans hoping for a win on Michael O’Neill’s first game at home since returning as manager were disappointed as the Irish went down to a 1-0 loss to Finland thanks to Kallman’s 28th minute first half strike.
Group H | ||||
P | Team | Pl | Pts | Gd |
1 | Slovenia | 2 | 6 | 3 |
2 | Denmark | 2 | 3 | 1 |
3 | Kazakhstan | 2 | 3 | 0 |
4 | Finland | 2 | 3 | -1 |
5 | North.Ireland | 2 | 3 | 1 |
6 | San Marino | 2 | 0 | -4 |
With three points from their two games, Northern Ireland’s odds have remained stable at 500/1 to win Euro 2024.
Thursday 23rd March
Friday 24th March
Saturday 25th March
Sunday 26th March
Monday 27th March
Tuesday 28th March
All groups without home nations teams in are shown below.
Group B | ||||
P | Team | Pl | Pts | Gd |
1 | France | 2 | 6 | 5 |
2 | Greece | 1 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Netherlands | 2 | 3 | -1 |
4 | Rep of Ireland | 1 | 0 | -1 |
5 | Gibraltar | 2 | 0 | -6 |
Group E | ||||
P | Team | Pl | Pts | Gd |
1 | Czechia | 2 | 4 | 2 |
2 | Poland | 2 | 3 | -1 |
3 | Moldova | 2 | 2 | 0 |
4 | Faroe Islands | 1 | 1 | 0 |
5 | Albania | 1 | 0 | -1 |
Group F | ||||
P | Team | Pl | Pts | Gd |
1 | Austria | 2 | 6 | 4 |
2 | Belgium | 1 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Sweden | 2 | 3 | 2 |
4 | Estonia | 1 | 0 | -1 |
5 | Azerbaijan | 2 | 0 | -8 |
Group G | ||||
P | Team | Pl | Pts | Gd |
1 | Serbia | 2 | 6 | 4 |
2 | Hungary | 1 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Montenegro | 2 | 3 | -1 |
4 | Lithuania | 1 | 0 | -2 |
5 | Bulgaria | 2 | 0 | -4 |
Group I | ||||
P | Team | Pl | Pts | Gd |
1 | Switzerland | 2 | 6 | 8 |
2 | Romania | 2 | 6 | 3 |
3 | Kosovo | 2 | 2 | 0 |
4 | Andorra | 2 | 1 | -2 |
5 | Israel | 2 | 1 | -3 |
6 | Belarus | 2 | 0 | -6 |
Group J | ||||
P | Team | Pl | Pts | Gd |
1 | Portugal | 2 | 6 | 10 |
2 | Slovakia | 2 | 4 | 2 |
3 | Bosnia-Herz. | 2 | 3 | 1 |
4 | Iceland | 2 | 3 | 4 |
5 | Luxembourg | 2 | 1 | -6 |
6 | Liechtenstein | 2 | 0 | -11 |
The next set of qualifiers takes place following the end of the domestic season in mid-June, with the final six matchdays taking place in September, October and November later this year.
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