Who Will Be The NFL MVP For Season 2023/24?

While the National Football League is a team game, it is also a place for individual talents to shine. And the best each year receives the NFL MVP award for the regular season. Certainly, the race for NFL MVP 2023 looks to be an exciting one!

Over the years many of the biggest names in the game have formerly won this award. Conversely, there are also a number of star names who have never got their hands on this trophy.

While players don’t go out with the specific aim of landing the NFL MVP award, they still want to play well enough to be in consideration.

Accordingly, that is what we are going to focus on for the purpose of this article. Specifically; which players are going to be in with a chance of the NFL MVP this coming season?

But before we answer that question, let’s take a look at some of the trends with this award over the years. In particular focusing on the winners of the award from the year 2000 onwards.

NFL MVP Awards (Since 2000 – Associated Press)

• 2000 – RB — Marshall Faulk (St. Louis Rams)
• 2001 – QB — Kurt Wartner (St. Louis Rams)
• 2002 – QB — Rich Gannon (Oakland Raiders)
• 2003 – QB – Peyton Manning (Indianapolis Colts)& QB – Steve McNair (Tennessee Titans)
• 2004 – QB – Peyton Manning (Indianapolis Colts)
• 2005 – RB — Shaun Alexander (Seattle Seahawks)
• 2006 – RB – LaDainan Tomlinson (San Diego Chargers)
• 2007 – QB – Tom Brady (New England Patriots)
• 2008 – QB – Peyton Manning (Indianapolis Colts)
• 2009 – QB – Peyton Manning (Indianapolis Colts)
• 2010 – QB – Tom Brady (New England Patriots)
• 2011 – QB – Aaron Rodgers (Green Bay Packers)
• 2012 – RB – Adrian Peterson (Minnesota Vikings)
• 2013 – QB – Peyton Manning (Indianapolis Colts)
• 2014 – QB – Aaron Rodgers (Green Bay Packers)
• 2015 – QB – Cam Newton (Carolina Panthers)
• 2016 – QB – Matt Ryan (Atlanta Falcons)
• 2017 – QB – Tom Brady (New England Patriots)
• 2018 – QB – Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs)
• 2019 – QB – Lamar Jackson (Baltimore Ravens)
• 2020 – QB – Aaron Rodgers (Green Bay Packers)
• 2021 – QB – Aaron Rodgers (Green Bay Packers)
• 2022 – QB – Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs)

Total Number of NFL MVP Wins

• 5 Wins – Peyton Manning (2003, 2004, 2008, 2009, 2013)
• 4 Wins – Aaron Rodgers (2011, 2014, 2020, 2021)
• 3 Wins – Jim Brown (1957, 1958, 1965), Johnny Unitas (1959, 1964, 1967), Brett Favre (1995, 1996, 1997), Tom Brady (2007, 2010, 2017)
• 2 Wins – Joe Montana (1989, 1990), Steve Young (1992, 1994),Kurt Warner (1999, 2001), Patrick Mahomes (2018, 2022)
• 1 Win – Norm Van Brocklin (1960), Paul Hornung (1961), Jim Taylor (1962), Y.A.Tittle (1953), Bart Starr (1966), Earl Morrall (1968), Roman Gabriel (1969), John Brodie (1970), Alan Page (1971), Larry Brown (1972), O.J.Simpson (1973), Ken Stabler (1974), Fran Tarkenton (1975), Bert Jones (1976), Walter Payton (1977), Terry Bradshaw (1978), Earl Campbell (1979), Brian Sipe (1980), Ken Anderson (1981), Mark Moseley (1982), Joe Theismann (1983), Dan Marino (1984), Marcus Allen (1985), Lawrence Taylor (1986), John Elway (1987), Boomer Esiason (1988), Thurman Thomas (1991), Emmitt Smith (1993), Terrell Davis (1998), Marshall Faulk (2000), Rich Gannon (2002), Steve McNair (2003), Shaun Alexander (2005), LaDainan Tomlinson (2006), Adrian Peterson (2012), Cam Newton (2015), Matt Ryan (2016), Lamar Jackson (2019)

Number of NFL MVP Wins by Position

• Quarterback – 46
• Running Back – 18
• Linebacker, Defensive Line, Kicker – 1

Nine Facts About The NFL MVP Award

• The Associated Press/Professional Football Writers award is now viewed as the ‘official’ NFL MVP. However, there have been several different organisations that have awarded a similar gong over the years. They include the Sporting News, UPI, Jim Thorpe Trophy and the first to be recognised back in 1938, the Joe F. Carr Trophy.
• The award has only ever been shared twice. The first time was in 1997, when QB Brett Favre won his third consecutive title but shared the honour with Detroit Lions RB Barry Sanders. Similarly, the second was in 2003 when quarterback duo Peyton Manning of the Indianapolis Colts and Steve McNair of the Tennessee Titans shared the title.
• Only one player, Brett Favre, has won the NFL MVP in three consecutive seasons.
• The last non-quarterback to win the trophy was Adrian Peterson back in 2012.
• Since 2001, a quarterback has won the trophy every year, bar three occasions (2005, 2006 and 2012).
• Comparatively, only two defensive players, Alan Page (Minnesota Vikings in 1971) and Lawrence Taylor (New York Giants in 1986), has won the award.
• Other than a QB or RB, the only other player to win the award was kicker Mark Moseley (Washington Redskins in 1982).
• Famous former players to have never won the award include: quarterbacks Ben Roethlisberger, Eli Manning, Randall Cunningham, Dan Fouts, Warren Moon, Troy Aikman, Drew Brees , Donovan McNab and Roger Staubach. Plus Jerry Rice (WR), Randy Moss (WR), Reggie White (EDGE), Joe Greene (DT), Ronnie Lott (DB), Deacon Jones (EDGE), Ed Reed (S), Ray Lewis (LB), Dick Butkus (LB), Rod Woodson (CB), Deion Sanders (CB), Bruce Smith (EDGE), Gale Sayers (RB), Mike Singletary (LB), Eric Dickerson (RB), Tony Gonzalez (TE), Terrell Owens (WR), Larry Fitzgerald (WR), JJ Watt (EDGE) and Lenny Moore (RB).
• Current players who have not had an NFL MVP award include – Russell Wilson (QB), Joe Burrow (QB), Aaron Donald (DT), Nick Bosa (EDGE), Derrick Henry (RB), Ja’Marr Chase (WR), Tyreek Hill (WR), Justin Jefferson (WR), Travis Kelce (TE), Jalen Hurts (QB), Josh Allen (QB), Justin Fields (QB), Jonathan Tayloir (RB), Cooper Kupp (WR), Stefon Diggs (WR), Myles Garrett (DE), Christian McCaffrey (RB/WR), TJ Watt (EDGE), Micah Parsons (OLB), Davante Adams (WR) and AJ Brown (WR).

What Does This Mean For Tipping The NFL MVP Winner in 2023?

A look at the data suggests the following:

• The winner is emphatically likely to be a quarterback.
• Likewise, the MVP will play on a team that reaches the playoffs at the very least.
• They are likely to be on a passing first offense

So, if we now take a look at the latest NFL MVP odds available with bet365 Sport, we find out that quarterbacks unquestionably dominate the betting.

Latest NFL MVP 2023 Odds from bet365 Sport

All players shown are quarterbacks unless otherwise stated.

• 11/2 – Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs)
• 13/2 – Joe Burrow (Cincinnati Bengals)
• 15/2 – Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills)
• 11/1 – Justin Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers)
• 12/1 – Jalen Hurts (Philadelphia Eagles)
• 14/1 – Lamar Jackson (Baltimore Ravens)
• 16/1 – Aaron Rodgers (New York Jets)
• 18/1 – Trevor Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars)
• 20/1 – Tua Tagovailoa (Miami Dolphins), Dak Prescott (Dallas Cowboys)
• 22/1 – Justin Fields (Chicago Bears)
• 28/1 – Trey Lance (San Francisco 49ers)
• 33/1 – DeShaun Watson (Cleveland Browns), Jared Goff (Detroit Lions)
• 40/1 – Geno Smith (Seattle Seahawks), Russell Wilson (Denver Broncos), Derek Carr (New Orleans Saints)
• 50/1 – Kirk Cousins (Minnesota Vikings), Daniel Jones (New York Giants), Jordan Love (Green Bay Packers), Kenny Pickett (Pittsburgh Steelers), Brock Purdy (San Francisco 49ers)
• 66/1 – Mac Jones (New England Patriots)
• 80/1 – Kyler Murray (Arizona Cardinals), Jimmy Garoppolo (Las Vegas Raiders), Sam Howell (Washington Commanders)
• 100/1 – Ryan Tannehill (Tennessee Titans), Justin Jefferson WR (Minnesota Vikings), Jonathan Taylor RB (Indianapolis Colts), Ja’Marr Chase WR (Cincinnati Bengals), Cooper Kupp WR (Los Angeles Rams), Tyreek Hill WR (Miami Dolphins), Bryce Young (Carolina Panthers), Davis Mills (Houston Texans)
• 125/1 bar

As you can see, the lowest price a non-quarterback is to win the NFL MVP 2023 is 100/1 for the best RB and WR in the game.

Therefore, a QB seems the right pick and I am backing Eagles QB Jalen Hurts (12/1) to come back strong again this year to nab the prize he probably should have won last year.

*All odds shown were correct at the time of writing but may have changed in the meantime.