Matchday 9 of the Euro 2024 Qualification Campaign is now in the history books and we are moving swiftly onto Matchday 10, which actually begins today (Sunday) and runs through until Tuesday.
After this date, we will know the two qualifiers from each of the ten groups, and we will also know the 12 teams that will be competing in the Euro 2024 Playoff tournaments for the final three places in Germany next summer.
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Let’s recap which teams had qualified before Matchday 9, the results of the games played on Matchday 9, what that means in terms of additional qualifiers and then we will look at the key games coming up on Matchday 10 that will decide who makes it to Germany.
Prior to Matchday 9 – Euro 2024 Qualifiers Confirmed
Ahead of Matchday 9, the following teams had confirmed that they would be competing in the Euro 2024 Finals in Germany next summer.
- Germany (Hosts)
- France
- Austria
- Belgium
- England
- Portugal
- Scotland
- Spain
- Turkey
Image by Margaret Decker from Pixabay
Euro 2024 Qualifiers – Matchday 9 Results
Group A
- Georgia 2-2 Scotland
- Cyprus 1-3 Spain
Spain and Scotland had already qualified from this group, but Scotland’s draw in Georgia means that Spain take over at the top of the group and if they win their final game at home to Georgia then they will be confirmed as group winners.
Group B
- France 14-0 Gibraltar
- Netherlands 1-0 Republic of Ireland
France took advantage of an early sending off for Gibraltar to run in an amazing 14 goals over the weakest team in the tournament, but the key game was in the Netherlands with the Dutch confirming their place in Germany thanks to a 1-0 win over Ireland.
Group C
- Italy 5-2 North Macedonia
- England 2-0 Malta
England are confirmed as winners of the group after this win over Malta but they need to win their final game away to North Macedonia to be assured of being one of the six top seeds in the draw in a couple of weeks time. Italy’s win moved them into second in the group, level on points with the Ukraine with the two set to meet in Poland in a showdown final group game.
Group D
- Armenia 1-1 Wales
- Latvia 0-2 Croatia
Wales needed to beat Armenia to keep ahead of Croatia in this group, but they could only manage a 1-1 draw which means Armenia can now no longer qualify from the group. Wales must beat Turkey and hope Croatia slip up at home to Armenia with a draw or a defeat, if the Dragons are to qualify for the finals directly.
Group E
- Moldova 1-1 Albania
- Poland 1-1 Czechia
The two 1-1 draws in Group E mean that we still don’t know who will top the group, or who will qualify. What we do know is that Poland will only be able to qualify via the playoffs and that Albania have qualified, but it will be Moldova or Czechia that go through with them depending how results go on Week 10.
Group F
- Estonia 0-2 Austria
- Azerbaijan 3-0 Sweden
With Belgium on a break from fixtures in the group, Austria took the chance to go top of the table with a 2-0 win in Estonia. The Austrians will win the group if Belgium fail to win their final game against Azerbaijan which takes place on the Sunday.
Group G
- Bulgaria 2-2 Hungary
- Montenegro 2-0 Lithuania
- Hungary 3-1 Montenegro
- Serbia 2-2 Bulgaria
This table is now complete with Hungary and Serbia finishing first and second in the group. Hungary missed the chance to wrap up the group when drawing 2-2 with Bulgaria on Matchday 9 but when Serbia also drew 2-2 with Bulgaria, Hungary’s 3-1 win over Montenegro saw them claim top spot in the group.
Group H
- Kazakhstan 3-1 San Marino
- Finland 4-0 Northern Ireland
- Denmark 2-1 Slovenia
Denmark made certain of qualifying with their 2-1 win over Slovenia. Kazakhstan’s win over San Marino keeps them in the hunt and sets up a winner-takes-all clash on Week 10 as Slovenia host the Kazakhstan team that they beat 2-1 in Astana in the first game of the group for the two teams.
Group I
- Israel 1-1 Switzerland (rearranged from Matchday 7)
- Belarus 2-0 Andorra
- Israel 1-2 Romania
- Switzerland 1-1 Kosovo
The Israel v Switzerland game was rearranged from Matchday 7 and ended in a draw, and the Swiss then went on to draw with Kosovo. That result, and Romania’s win over Israel, means that Romania and Switzerland qualify from the group, with the winner still to be decided by the Week 10 results.
Group J
- Liechtenstein 0-2 Portugal
- Luxembourg 4-1 Bosnia & Herzegovina
- Slovakia 4-2 Iceland
Portugal’s 100% record continued in the group stage as they landed a 2-0 win in Liechtenstein. Luxembourg’s huge improvement saw them confirm a third place finish with a 4-1 win over Bosnia& Herzegovina while Slovakia’s 4-2 win over Iceland means that they will finish second in the group and qualify for the finals next summer.
After Matchday 9 Games the following teams have qualified (those qualifying on matchday 9 or 10 are shown in italics).
- Germany (Hosts)
- France
- Austria
- Belgium
- England
- Portugal
- Scotland
- Spain
- Turkey
- Netherlands
- Albania
- Hungary
- Serbia
- Denmark
- Romania
- Switzerland
- Albania
- Slovakia
That means that we now know 18 of the 24 teams that will compete in the finals next summer. With three places decided by the Euro 2024 Playoffs in March next year, this means that there are just three places left to be decided in the finals next summer.
And the Key Games that will decide those three teams are outlined below.
Key Games from Euro 2024 Qualifiers Matchday 10
There are just five games that have something to play for in terms of qualifying for the finals and three of the games are a simple case of winner qualifies. Let’s take a look at the games in question.
Group C
England have already qualified as Group Winners, but it will be Italy or the Ukraine that join them in the finals next summer as runner up.
Italy hold the advantage as they are second on goal difference so far, so the Italians know a draw or better would be enough for them to clinch second spot in the group. Ukraine, who will play the game in Poland as the home team, must win the game in order to send Italy into the playoffs.
Italy have never lost to the Ukraine winning seven and drawing two of the nine games that they have played against them. In fact Ukraine have scored just four times in those nine games, compared to Italy’s 17 goals.
In their history, Italy have been superb at getting results when they need them most and I think they will do enough to claim the draw here in what will be a nervy game on Monday night. Italy to win – 9/10.
Group D
- Wales v Turkey
- Croatia v Armenia
The maths is simple, Wales need to win and Croatia to either draw or lose in order to finish second in Group D. Any Wales defeat or draw would mean Croatia qualify regardless of their result.
The Welsh narrowly lost in Turkey but it is the four points dropped to Armenia which has really hurt their campaign. Croatia have also been second-best to the Turks in this qualifying campaign, but you’d expect their experience to see them home against Armenia.
The Armenian’s tried so hard against Wales but could only earn a draw when they needed a win to be still in with a chance of qualifying and it is hard to imagine they are going to be massively motivated for this game.
As such I think Croatia will win the game and qualify, with Wales left to take their chances in the playoffs. – Croatia win – 1/6, Wales & Turkey to draw – 13/5
Group E
A win or draw for Czechia will see them through against a plucky Moldovan side who have done remarkably well in this group to stay in contention right up to the last game. It is certainly their best qualifying campaign but I think it is likely it will stop here.
The teams have met three times in the past, the Czech’s winning two and drawing the other, which was a 0-0 draw in the match between the two in this group in Chisinau.
In terms of every measurable, the Czech’s should win this game. They have much the better players, they are at home, they are experienced at major finals and Moldova have not scored against them in the three previous games.
It’s no surprise them that I am taking the Czech’s to win and to qualify at 2/9.
Group H
Kazakhstan must win to pip Slovenia to second spot in the group but to do that, they are going to have to travel to Ljubljana and claim a first ever win against the Slovenians.
That’s because the teams have met just once, Slovenia winning 2-1 in Astana in the first game in the group between the two teams.
Of the two teams, Slovenia have the edge in almost every measurable here. Form is on their side, they are at home, they have a more experienced and more talented squad and they have been in these positions before.
As such, I am backing Slovenia at 9/20 to claim the win here.
*All odds shown were correct with bet365 Sport at the time of writing.
